Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 4.947689 5.360334 5.817860 6.368331 7.020445 7.778747 8.743515
2025-02-09 4.444496 4.996456 5.653395 6.512758 7.640370 9.124277 11.335303
2025-02-16 4.033903 4.665097 5.459597 6.574826 8.181166 10.575950 14.860855
2025-02-23 3.679984 4.351391 5.235436 6.552895 8.618796 12.110628 19.863231
2025-03-02 3.306356 3.965871 4.860278 6.248812 8.564254 12.886000 24.617500
2025-03-09 3.057064 3.719012 4.643711 6.141500 8.812469 14.420716 34.746061
2025-03-16 2.796092 3.430545 4.332963 5.834006 8.630782 15.012559 44.805536
2025-03-23 2.656304 3.299313 4.238352 5.863904 9.108479 17.645035 90.767675
2025-03-30 2.512500 3.149253 4.097756 5.791083 9.364818 20.052913 282.358103
2025-04-06 2.367909 2.986633 3.921009 5.625872 9.374372 21.800628 NaN
2025-04-13 2.218711 2.807277 3.702305 5.353741 9.063791 22.092020 NaN
2025-04-20 2.158461 2.757107 3.686886 5.462861 9.737666 28.153286 NaN
2025-04-27 2.145649 2.787320 3.822584 5.932646 11.776093 55.758738 NaN
2025-05-04 2.088713 2.744797 3.831722 6.154168 13.351596 128.644791 NaN
2025-05-11 2.022528 2.682657 3.800234 6.285556 14.828619 927.811309 NaN
2025-05-18 1.950220 2.605372 3.733418 6.323757 16.062783 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.852081 2.479324 3.564556 6.079958 15.799314 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.781986 2.395999 3.469511 6.009070 16.448284 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.695925 2.281340 3.305985 5.735223 15.788876 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 1.650579 2.232849 3.265805 5.781316 17.134508 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 1.598347 2.169687 3.191746 5.723179 17.828932 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 1.540948 2.094885 3.089386 5.570775 17.750500 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 1.476877 2.006073 2.954201 5.309914 16.700592 NaN NaN